Tuesday, January 22, 2013

The "V" word


Variance

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
In probability theory and statistics, the variance is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out.
 It is one of several descriptors of a probability distribution, describing how far the numbers lie from the mean (expected value). 
In particular, the variance is one of the moments of a distribution. In that context, it forms part of a systematic approach to distinguishing
 between probability distributions. While other such approaches have been developed, those based on moments are advantageous in
 terms of mathematical and computational simplicity.
The variance is a parameter describing in part either the actual probability distribution of an observed population
 of numbers, or the theoretical probability distribution of a sample (a not-fully-observed population) of numbers.
 In the latter case a sample of data from such a distribution can be used to construct an estimate of its variance:
 in the simplest cases this estimate can be the sample variance.

(Dec 23)   20th / 339   $5reb  $10k GTD
(Dec 27)   11th / 245   $55 $10k GTD
(Dec 30)   17th / 284   $22  $4k GTD
(Jan 2)      13th / 285   $7reb  $6k GTD
(Jan 6)       20th / 233  $88 WU $20k
(Jan 8)       19th / 573  $11reb  $10k GTD
(Jan 8)       21st / 233  $55 $10k GTD
(Jan 13)     14th / 569  $44  $20k GTD
(Jan 20)     13th / 634  $55  $30k GTD
(Jan 21)    1st / 634  $11reb  $10k GTD

250 Game sample on ipoker I felt like I was running awful with all of these near FT bubbles.
 But the truth of the matter is in that short of a sample it may seem like running poorly to keep coming up
 short when in fact I may have been running good to even make 9 near FT bubbles in less than 250 games... 
sigh at variance and how it works :(

I did however ship the $11reb $1k GTD for almost $2,700 
Here's to running even better over my next 250 games  :)
Have a great week and gl on and off the felt....